TreeC: a method to generate interpretable energy management systems using a metaheuristic algorithm

Abstract

Energy management systems (EMS) have classically been implemented based on rule-based control (RBC) and model predictive control (MPC) methods. Recent research are investigating reinforcement learning (RL) as a new promising approach. This paper introduces TreeC, a machine learning method that uses the metaheuristic algorithm covariance matrix adaptation evolution strategy (CMA-ES) to generate an interpretable EMS modeled as a decision tree. This method learns the decision strategy of the EMS based on historical data contrary to RBC and MPC approaches that are typically considered as non adaptive solutions. The decision strategy of the EMS is modeled as a decision tree and is thus interpretable contrary to RL which mainly uses black-box models (e.g. neural networks). The TreeC method is compared to RBC, MPC and RL strategies in two study cases taken from literature: (1) an electric grid case and (2) a household heating case. The results show that TreeC obtains close performances than MPC with perfect forecast in both cases and obtains similar performances to RL in the electrical grid case and outperforms RL in the household heating case. TreeC demonstrates a performant application of machine learning for energy management systems that is also fully interpretable.